Two Massachusetts Polls Make Democrats Smile; Warren, Obama Both Lead

Two polls by Western New England University, released over the weekend, have good news for Elizabeth Warren and President Barack Obama. Both lead their respective rivals with less than one month to Election Day. With only a few debates remaining in both races, there is less and less wiggle room for the candidates to change the nature of the race.

Warren vs. Brown

Warren, who is running to unseat freshman Republican Senator Scott Brown, led in their race by 5 points, 50-45 percent. Three percent were undecided, while 2 percent refused to answer. The poll surveyed 440 likely voters with a margin of error of 4.7 percent. Warren has polled well recently, leading Brown in all but two polls taken since the beginning of September.

Both candidates remain popular with their own party. Only 11 percent of Democrats polled said they would vote for Brown, while a whopping 98 percent of Republicans said they supported Brown for re-election. The race may hinge on the gender vote. Almost two-thirds of female likely voters, 61 percent, said they preferred Warren, while 56 percent of men said they preferred Brown. The poll surveyed almost 50 more women than men, indicating that Brown may need to play catch-up with this important segment of the Massachusetts electorate.

The two candidate will meet for their third debate this week. The third debate, organized by the Springfield Public Forum, will be televised by CBS-3 Springfield, ABC-40 Springfield and carried on radio by WFCR 88.5FM. The debate will also be broadcast live on the Internet by Masslive.com. The fourth and final debate is scheduled for Oct. 30.

Obama vs. Romney

President Obama continues to lead Romney by an overwhelming margin. In a concurrent Western New England University poll, Obama was ahead of Romney by 30 points, 63-30 percent. The poll surveyed 440 likely voters with a 4.7 percent margin of error. Three percent were undecided. The poll was conducted between Sept. 28-Oct. 4, so only one day of data was taken after Romney's impressive debate performance at the first presidential debate in Denver.

Romney is definitely hurt by negative perceptions. Over half of the respondents, 58 percent, had an unfavorable view of Romney, compared to 62 percent who view Obama favorably. According to Masslive.com, Massachusetts State Rep. Ellen Story (D-Amherst) said, "I think we know too much about Romney in Massachusetts to vote for him."

The poll's result is in line with every other poll of Massachusetts taken this campaign season. Despite being the former governor of the Bay State, Obama has led Romney in every single poll taken thus far, all but one in double digits. Nancy Luther, a member of the Massachusetts Republican Party Executive Committee told MassLive.com that Obama's lead is to be expected, "with this (Massachusetts) being a blue state."

Three debates remain in the presidential election. Later this week, on Oct. 11, Vice President Joe Biden and Rep. Paul Ryan meet for the one and only vice presidential debate. Obama and Romney will meet twice more, on Oct. 16 and 22.

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/two-massachusetts-polls-democrats-smile-warren-obama-both-212900544.html

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